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[Op-Ed] Trump isn't unpredictable
March 13
This article was published in The Korea Times on March 13, 2024. With Donald Trump set to be the Republican presidential nominee after a string of primary wins on March 5, South Korea and other U.S. allies will be increasingly focused on the implications of…
Read More[Op-Ed] Climate Change as a Path to Engagement with North Korea
March 11
This article was published in the United States Institute of Peace on March 11, 2024. Since North Korea broke off talks with the United States after their 2019 meeting in Stockholm, progress in engaging Pyongyang on its nuclear weapons and other issues has stalled. The pandemic likely…
Read More[Op-Ed] Even Without Sanctions, South Korea Significantly Reduced Fossil Fuel Imports From Russia
March 8
This article was published in The Diplomat on March 8, 2024. Following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the United States and its allies put in place an extensive set of sanctions to limit Moscow’s export earnings. Russian fossil fuels were one major target. While South Korea joined the initial set…
Read More[Op-Ed] Geopolitics and global slowdown weigh on South Korea’s economy
February 24
This article was published in East Asia Form on February 24, 2024. After expanding by 2.6 per cent in 2022, South Korea’s economy cooled in 2023. Waning global demand for South Korean exports, continuing geopolitical challenges and weakening domestic demand saw growth decelerate to an estimated 1.4…
Read More[Op-ed] Focus on North Korea’s economy and Russia
February 7
This article was published in The Korea Times on February 7, 2024. In recent weeks, there has been significant discussion of whether North Korea has made the fundamental decision to go to war with South Korea. But focusing exclusively on whether Pyongyang has made a…
Read More[Op-ed] South Korea’s Nuclear Education
January 31
This article was published in The National Interest on January 30, 2024. The trends driving the U.S.-ROK alliance to enhance cooperation around extended deterrence and establish the Nuclear Consultative Group (NCG) in 2023—advancing North Korean capabilities, increasingly virulent threats, and a worsening strategic environment—have only accelerated…
Read More[Op-ed] Satellites, summits and succession in North Korea
January 31
This article was published in The East Asia Forum on January 31, 2024. Though North Korea had yet to fully resume its pre-pandemic activities by the end of the year, Supreme Leader Kim Jong-un celebrated major successes in safeguarding and strengthening North Korea and the…
Read More[Op-ed] North Korean Exports Hit Record High Since UN Sanctions Took Full Effect
December 22
This article was published on The Diplomat on December 22, 2023 After years of disruption from United Nations sanctions and the pandemic, North Korean exports to China surged through the first 11 months of 2023. However, North Korea’s export recovery is potentially fragile due…
Read More[Op-ed] South Korea Offers a Chance to Modernize Old Alliances
November 30
This article was published on The Foreign Policy on November 30, 2023. There’s growing skepticism among the American public about U.S. commitments abroad, matched with growing doubt among allies and partners—monitoring political currents in the United States—about the credibility of those commitments. Even for…
Read More[Op-ed] South Korea: America’s Forgotten Ally?
October 2
This article was published on The Diplomat on October 2, 2023 On October 1, the United States and South Korea marked the 70th anniversary of their security alliance. For much of the period, the United States’ “forgotten war” also produced its most underappreciated ally. However,…
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