February 23 Sanctions Announcement: Maximizing Maximum Pressure
The Trump Administration announced a new set of economic sanctions against North Korea, which officials have described as the “largest ever tranche.”
The Trump Administration announced a new set of economic sanctions against North Korea, which officials have described as the “largest ever tranche.”
Similar to the U.S. “Worldwide Threat Assessment,” the Estonian Foreign Intelligence Service has published its report, “International Security and Estonia.”
Even in the best-case scenario, a “bloody nose” attack on North Korea would likely undermine “maximum pressure” for economic reasons.
Beijing conducting economic “war” on Pyongyang might be a little strong, but I think everyone would agree it’s at least a fierce and growing skirmish.
Clearly the participation of the North in the PyeongChang Games has benefits for both North and South since both have made a major effort to bring it about.
Although the North Korea Human Rights Act provisions expired in 2017, Congressional interest has continued and the Act should soon be renewed.
While few observers doubt the significance of the Olympics agreement, many disagree about what it will mean for the future of inter-Korean relations.
As we look ahead to what might occur in 2018 we should also consider how key events from 2017 will continue to shape the year ahead.
In 2017, attention turned to the Korean Peninsula as South Korea removed Park Geun-hye from office and North Korea advanced its weapons programs.
It is more likely North Korea will seek to raise tensions in the rub up to the 2018 Winter Olympics than to embrace dialogue or more extreme measures.