The Trump-Kim Summit: North Korea’s Preventative Diplomatic Strike?
By extending summit invitations to t Moon Jae-in and Donald Trump, North Korea has been able to move the dynamics from confrontation to dialogue.
By extending summit invitations to t Moon Jae-in and Donald Trump, North Korea has been able to move the dynamics from confrontation to dialogue.
North Korea has a history of requesting a security guarantee in return for freezing or ending its weapons program which the U.S. has typically denied.
The Trump Administration announced a new set of economic sanctions against North Korea, which officials have described as the “largest ever tranche.”
Similar to the U.S. “Worldwide Threat Assessment,” the Estonian Foreign Intelligence Service has published its report, “International Security and Estonia.”
Even in the best-case scenario, a “bloody nose” attack on North Korea would likely undermine “maximum pressure” for economic reasons.
Beijing conducting economic “war” on Pyongyang might be a little strong, but I think everyone would agree it’s at least a fierce and growing skirmish.
Clearly the participation of the North in the PyeongChang Games has benefits for both North and South since both have made a major effort to bring it about.
Although the North Korea Human Rights Act provisions expired in 2017, Congressional interest has continued and the Act should soon be renewed.
While few observers doubt the significance of the Olympics agreement, many disagree about what it will mean for the future of inter-Korean relations.
As we look ahead to what might occur in 2018 we should also consider how key events from 2017 will continue to shape the year ahead.